Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 1441.234658 1676.751288 1952.030392 2300.974496 2736.445431 3268.652462 3.978816e+03
2024-12-15 1107.712377 1393.714680 1765.709778 2297.691364 3061.048125 4154.117394 5.912740e+03
2024-12-22 923.901484 1216.168999 1621.051286 2244.803387 3224.759025 4789.779126 7.682639e+03
2024-12-29 821.374785 1122.231232 1561.603151 2283.460110 3513.626430 5690.384239 1.031311e+04
2025-01-05 717.461803 1006.640841 1445.370495 2201.352622 3572.283199 6204.245942 1.248646e+04
2025-01-12 640.250362 918.823932 1355.528302 2140.105169 3644.627769 6760.601431 1.509893e+04
2025-01-19 576.266636 842.780646 1272.288228 2072.118131 3683.054517 7256.795220 1.791973e+04
2025-01-26 553.132448 828.338206 1287.628548 2183.365280 4108.219254 8798.887165 2.518430e+04
2025-02-02 526.209795 804.034233 1281.798761 2251.966401 4461.569911 10339.249863 3.437439e+04
2025-02-09 503.071941 783.231794 1278.778617 2324.705326 4846.632834 12181.281952 4.781576e+04
2025-02-16 472.340599 745.924281 1240.372218 2315.752994 5028.667370 13518.628956 6.152820e+04
2025-02-23 455.545165 731.539174 1243.226843 2396.944668 5473.688233 16042.872542 8.967868e+04
2025-03-02 436.522444 713.619737 1241.639431 2480.051463 5994.896816 19461.261268 1.424420e+05
2025-03-09 411.098061 681.745087 1209.027638 2486.373390 6306.666701 22415.730788 2.144416e+05
2025-03-16 382.841360 641.622808 1154.143628 2426.271061 6386.733140 24408.550263 2.962031e+05
2025-03-23 366.228141 622.313971 1140.584496 2469.316011 6837.927162 28976.495859 5.157893e+05
2025-03-30 340.820561 583.542040 1080.656763 2378.359025 6779.129002 30539.499137 7.030526e+05
2025-04-06 319.621414 551.484406 1032.185942 2310.611581 6788.598061 32669.358640 1.024538e+06
2025-04-13 299.853682 520.839583 983.863563 2235.474782 6747.015709 34489.211773 1.486102e+06
2025-04-20 295.162001 520.355845 1003.495286 2358.459389 7576.701973 44844.002516 5.097928e+06
2025-04-27 287.538341 513.135410 1006.709014 2434.398296 8255.493536 55932.919411 2.410186e+07
2025-05-04 280.563865 506.668413 1010.930077 2514.998833 9013.954154 70732.650058 5.067095e+08
2025-05-11 269.101347 489.751946 988.085310 2505.074480 9322.862349 81293.292993 NaN